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Captured vs Total Demand

Per-SKU total ASIN demand (debiased monthlySold interval from the pinned calibration snapshot) vs our captured units (Haul own sales, payload-anchored 30d window), with the gap priced as a dollar range per the D4 price rule.

Headline gap — A/B grades only
$2.45M–$11.65M
per 30d, P10–P90 · 310 A/B-grade SKUs · C-grade, no-signal and terminated SKUs are NOT in this number

47.9%of the full range's P90 ($1.92M–$5.58M, 49 SKUs) sits on listings where Amazon 1P currently holds the buy box (≥50% of buy-box time). Capturing it requires winning the buy box from Amazon — a buy-box strategy, not just stock.

Incl. 1P-heldExcl. 1P-held
Unverified opportunity — C bucket
$57.3K–$613.4K
per 30d, P10–P90 · 15 C-grade SKUs with a gap estimate — shown beside the headline, never mixed in
% of our GMV in C-grade SKUs
15.2%
$1.98M of $13.06M trailing-90d own GMV sits in SKUs whose demand estimate is unverified (C or no-signal)
SKU states
325 estimated
777 no-signal · 1,149 excluded (terminated brand) · 5 unpriced (unit-only, contribute $0) · 2,251 total
Snapshot cal-2026-07-03-7b54d50b · own-sales anchor 2026-07-03 · computed 2026-07-03 10:54 UTC · price rule: own trailing-90d ASP → Keepa buy-box (pinned payload) → unpriced (D4) · headline universe: census census-dfea4b8a-f2a8-41ac-b3d1-0ea1dc6b3008 (2251 ASINs)
AllA/BC bucketNo signalExcluded
ASIN / BrandStateGradeTotal demand (units/30d)Captured (units/30d)Gap (units/30d)Gap ($/30d)Price basisReconciliation
B0CLBBDR9P
Wiley Wallaby · tier B
ESTIMATED
A
53–216
77
0–139
$0–$1,963
own ASP 90d ($14.14)
AGREE
B07HL94BNB
Earth Animal · tier B
ESTIMATEDB540–8096480–161$0–$1,918own ASP 90d ($11.92)AGREE
B0CL7QZP9K
Wiley Wallaby · tier B
ESTIMATEDA129–4241590–265$0–$1,915own ASP 90d ($7.23)AGREE
B08XY8Y65J
Heartbeat Hot Sauce Co. · tier C
ESTIMATEDA53–216890–127$0–$1,899own ASP 90d ($14.97)AGREE
B0C1PXJNKD
Earth Animal · tier A
ESTIMATEDB778–1,2821,1120–170$0–$1,861own ASP 90d ($10.93)AGREE
B09JL6ZBSK
Wiley Wallaby · tier A
ESTIMATEDA600–8166870–129$0–$1,829own ASP 90d ($14.14)AGREE
B0C1PPJ2QY
Earth Animal · tier B
ESTIMATEDA264–5844180–166$0–$1,806own ASP 90d ($10.89)AGREE
B00ETPQ5BA
Wiley Wallaby · tier B
ESTIMATEDC540–8095820–227$0–$1,774own ASP 90d ($7.82)DIVERGENT
B0B39LMXX5
Heartbeat Hot Sauce Co. · tier B
ESTIMATEDA53–2161020–114$0–$1,712own ASP 90d ($15.04)AGREE
B07K2HV21N
Urine Off · tier C
ESTIMATEDB79–2631300–133$0–$1,699own ASP 90d ($12.74)DIVERGENT
B0CX6N5PDS
Earth Animal · tier C
ESTIMATEDA79–263940–169$0–$1,678own ASP 90d ($9.91)AGREE
B07HRWRRNY
Heartbeat Hot Sauce Co. · tier C
ESTIMATEDA53–2161050–111$0–$1,661own ASP 90d ($14.99)AGREE
B0CLBC69H1
Wiley Wallaby · tier B
ESTIMATEDA53–2161320–84$0–$1,652own ASP 90d ($19.71)AGREE
B09JL5XXZ8
Wiley Wallaby · tier C
ESTIMATEDA129–4242010–223$0–$1,567own ASP 90d ($7.03)AGREE
B01CUJY7QQ
Earth Animal · tier A
ESTIMATEDA437–7095610–148$0–$1,547own ASP 90d ($10.42)AGREE
B0C1PG4VSX
Earth Animal · tier A
ESTIMATEDB618–1,0028840–118$0–$1,285own ASP 90d ($10.89)AGREE
B09JL83H4V
Wiley Wallaby · tier C
ESTIMATEDA53–216710–145$0–$1,243own ASP 90d ($8.58)AGREE
B0CLBRY7WD
Wiley Wallaby · tier C
ESTIMATEDA53–216810–135$0–$1,054own ASP 90d ($7.82)AGREE
B0896NZJJL
illy · tier U
ESTIMATED
1P HOLDS BUY BOX
Amazon 1P held 100% of buy-box time — winning this gap needs buy-box strategy, not just stock
B53–216053–216$235–$963Keepa buy box ($4.46)INSUFFICIENT
B0012ZJAJ4
Wiley Wallaby · tier C
ESTIMATEDA53–216920–124$0–$950own ASP 90d ($7.67)AGREE
1587014152
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
2412184711
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
2877306945
Rocketbook
EXCLUDED — TERMINATED
override:AC ruling (W2 fix round), QA concur · Contract exit (AC-named); wound down after Q4-2025 surge · no gap dollars by ruling
———————
2890760243
Rocketbook
EXCLUDED — TERMINATED
override:AC ruling (W2 fix round), QA concur · Contract exit (AC-named); wound down after Q4-2025 surge · no gap dollars by ruling
———————
5568086796
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5568086911
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5570994312
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5570994314
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5574280398
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5574280399
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5574495817
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5576598971
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5742708653
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5754267702
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5758151059
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5764009400
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
5772874032
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
6929560940
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7272100792
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7275203508
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7382004140
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7387319543
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7401163397
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7404367673
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7419606696
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7570366761
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
7575553450
Wiley Wallaby · tier U
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
B0000VM3AY
SureFire
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—0———INSUFFICIENT
B0002YFCDE
Earth Animal · tier C
NO SIGNAL
no debiased monthlySold total for this ASIN — gap is not a number
C—46———INSUFFICIENT
B000634IUO
TropiClean
EXCLUDED — TERMINATED
override:AC ruling (W2 fix round), QA concur · Contract exit (AC-named); demand persisted while stocked, sales collapsed as inventory drained unreplenished · no gap dollars by ruling
———————

Page 7 of 46 · 2,251 SKUs · 50/page

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