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Illy · listing B0F3YYXDW3 · 5-pack · ordered from Illy
LowConfidenceWhat it is: How much to trust the numbers on this line: High, Medium, or Low.Where it comes from: A fixed rule, not a judgment call. Low: no sales of our own to base it on, or the number comes from a fallback. Medium: a named caveat — Amazon itself sells the listing, thin history, or our reads disagree. High: steady own sales and nothing off. The exact reasons are listed in this box on the product page. For this line: no sales of our own in the last 90 days to base this on.How to use it: High: order as suggested. Medium: read the reasons, then decide. Low: open the product page and check before ordering.Check this product before trusting the numbers.
Selling per day Selling per dayWhat it is: How many units of this product we expect to sell in a typical day right now.Where it comes from: Our sales forecast for this product — built from our own sales history and routinely checked against what actually sold. For reference, the note under the number shows actual sales over the last 30 days.How to use it: Multiply by a number of days to see how much stock that time needs. A higher rate means stock runs down faster, so dates matter more.
22
our checked sales forecast for this product — for reference, you sold 615 units in the last 30 days (≈ 21 a day, counted through Thu Jul 2)
Days of stock Days of stockWhat it is: How many days until this product runs out if it keeps selling at the expected rate.Where it comes from: (On hand + arriving) ÷ selling per day, using the exact numbers shown on this line.How to use it: Compare it to the safety cushion shown in the sentence. When days of stock falls to the cushion, it's time to order — that's exactly what the order-by date says.
≈ 477
1,020 at Amazon (counted yesterday) + 240 in our warehouse (counted 2 days ago)
Arriving ArrivingWhat it is: Units already ordered from the vendor that have not arrived yet.Where it comes from: Open purchase orders in our purchasing records: quantity ordered minus quantity received.How to use it: These already count toward your days of stock, so don't order them again. If something should be arriving but isn't listed, check the order with the vendor.
9,420
9,420 units inbound to Amazon or on open vendor orders
Suggested order Suggested orderWhat it is: The order that brings this product up to the level the numbers say to keep — enough for the days of stock named in the sentence, safety cushion included.Where it comes from: The stock-up-to level in the sentence (about N days at the expected selling rate) minus what you have on hand and arriving, rounded up to whole cases. It's the same quantity our purchasing review screen recommends — one number, everywhere.How to use it: Order this many unless you know something the numbers don't — a promotion, a discontinue, a pack change. Type your own number and everything recalculates; your number is kept and labeled.
0 cases
0 units at 10 per case
Order by Order byWhat it is: The last day you can place this order and still get it before the product runs out.Where it comes from: Today plus (days of stock minus the safety cushion in days). If that lands today or earlier, it shows as order today.How to use it: Plan your day around the earliest of these dates. Past-due dates mean some days out of stock are already unavoidable — order anyway to shorten them.
Thu May 13
days of stock minus the safety cushion (about 166 days). Vendor delivery: about 50 days — typical delivery time from this vendor's own past orders
Expected to sell about 22 a day. 1,260 on hand + 9,420 arriving = about 477 days of stock. Delivery (about 64 days door to shelf) plus a safety cushion take about 166 days, so order by Thu May 13. No order needed yet — what you have (10,680 units) already covers the target of about 173 days of stock (3,795 units). Safety cushionWhat it is: The days of stock this product keeps in reserve so it doesn't run out while an order is still on its way.Where it comes from: Delivery door to shelf (the vendor making and shipping it, then Amazon checking it in and shelving it), the gap between our order checks, and a buffer of extra stock for busy weeks.How to use it: When days of stock falls to the cushion, order. The order-by date is exactly days of stock minus the cushion — you can check it with a calendar.
When could it run out?
Counting everything on hand and arriving: as early as Sun May 9 if it sells at the fast end of what we expect, as late as Fri Jun 7 at the slow end. How: 10,680 units available (on hand + arriving) ÷ the fast and slow ends of our forecast for all pack sizes of this product.
Last 90 days
Amazon's stock line ends Sun Jul 5 — that's the newest count we have, not today's.
Your adjustments
Currently the suggestion (0 cases).
Currently 50 days — typical delivery time from this vendor's own past orders.
The suggestion stocks up to enough for this many days of expected sales, plus the safety cushion. Currently 75 days (standard).