Per-SKU total ASIN demand (debiased monthlySold interval from the pinned calibration snapshot) vs our captured units (Haul own sales, payload-anchored 30d window), with the gap priced as a dollar range per the D4 price rule.
47.9%of the full range's P90 ($1.92M–$5.58M, 49 SKUs) sits on listings where Amazon 1P currently holds the buy box (≥50% of buy-box time). Capturing it requires winning the buy box from Amazon — a buy-box strategy, not just stock.
cal-2026-07-03-7b54d50b · own-sales anchor 2026-07-03 · computed 2026-07-03 10:54 UTC · price rule: own trailing-90d ASP → Keepa buy-box (pinned payload) → unpriced (D4) · headline universe: census census-dfea4b8a-f2a8-41ac-b3d1-0ea1dc6b3008 (2251 ASINs)| ASIN / Brand | State | Grade | Total demand (units/30d) | Captured (units/30d) | Gap (units/30d) | Gap ($/30d) | Price basis | Reconciliation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
B0C1PG4VSX Earth Animal · tier A |
| ESTIMATED |
| B |
| 618–1,002 |
| 884 |
| 0–118 |
| $0–$1,285 |
| own ASP 90d ($10.89) |
| AGREE |
B09JL83H4V Wiley Wallaby · tier C | ESTIMATED | A | 53–216 | 71 | 0–145 | $0–$1,243 | own ASP 90d ($8.58) | AGREE |
B0CLBRY7WD Wiley Wallaby · tier C | ESTIMATED | A | 53–216 | 81 | 0–135 | $0–$1,054 | own ASP 90d ($7.82) | AGREE |
B0896NZJJL illy · tier U | ESTIMATED 1P HOLDS BUY BOX Amazon 1P held 100% of buy-box time — winning this gap needs buy-box strategy, not just stock | B | 53–216 | 0 | 53–216 | $235–$963 | Keepa buy box ($4.46) | INSUFFICIENT |
B0012ZJAJ4 Wiley Wallaby · tier C | ESTIMATED | A | 53–216 | 92 | 0–124 | $0–$950 | own ASP 90d ($7.67) | AGREE |
B004DH0YOS SureFire | ESTIMATED | B | 57–253 | 0 | 57–253 | UNPRICED | none — unit-only | INSUFFICIENT |
B00FC9GM9W illy · tier U | ESTIMATED 1P HOLDS BUY BOX Amazon 1P held 100% of buy-box time — winning this gap needs buy-box strategy, not just stock | B | 274–583 | 0 | 274–583 | UNPRICED | none — unit-only | INSUFFICIENT |
B07KRS7TGF illy · tier U | ESTIMATED 1P HOLDS BUY BOX Amazon 1P held 100% of buy-box time — winning this gap needs buy-box strategy, not just stock | B | 540–809 | 0 | 540–809 | UNPRICED | none — unit-only | INSUFFICIENT |
B0BY2W7GBQ SureFire | ESTIMATED | B | 57–253 | 0 | 57–253 | UNPRICED | none — unit-only | INSUFFICIENT |
B0C4BG37HR illy | ESTIMATED 1P HOLDS BUY BOX Amazon 1P held 78% of buy-box time — winning this gap needs buy-box strategy, not just stock | B | 53–216 | 0 | 53–216 | UNPRICED | none — unit-only | INSUFFICIENT |
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