PO-placed → dock distributions per vendor from Flow PO history (read-only). Distributions, not averages — variance drives safety stock. Below min-n the specified default governs: vendor-quoted × global correction factor, buffer at the ratio distribution's P90 (spec §7).
| Vendor | n | Served P10 / P50 / P90 | Spread | Raw P10 / P50 / P90 | Source | Shrink w | Quoted med | Regime Q4 / CNY | Drift |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earth Animal | 47 | 12.7d / 16.6d / 25.3d | 12.7d | 12.6d / 16.0d / 23.0d | learned | 0.855 | 14.0d | ×1.28 / ×0.78 | drift episode ×1 (cleared) |
| Case SKU | Vendor | n | Served P10 / P50 / P90 | Raw P50 | Shrink w (→ vendor) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ILLY_C_GC_8.8OZ_INTEN_ESP_CASE | Illy | 13 | 15.2d / 33.2d / 80.2d | 30.0d | 0.619 |
| EA_NHC_VB_LRG_3CT_PORK_CASE | Earth Animal | 10 | 13.8d / 17.9d / 23.6d | 19.5d | 0.556 |
| ILLY_C_KC_10CT_DECAF_CASE | Illy | 9 | 15.2d / 30.3d / 69.1d | 23.0d | 0.529 |
| Vendor | Side | Fired at | Cleared at | Episode receipts (days) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earth Animal | low | 2026-03-02 | 2026-03-13 | 12, 12, 11 |
| Illy | high | 2026-04-13 | 2026-06-08 | 84, 86, 91, 92, 87 |
| Wiley Wallaby |
| 45 |
| 13.0d / 19.2d / 26.3d |
| 13.3d |
| 13.0d / 19.0d / 24.0d |
| learned |
| 0.849 |
| 17.0d |
| ×1.05 / ×0.97 |
| stable |
| Illy | 36 | 15.0d / 35.1d / 77.9d | 62.8d | 15.5d / 38.5d / 86.5d | learned | 0.818 | 25.0d | ×1.73 / ×3.59 | drift episode ×1 (cleared) |
| TROPICLEAN | 29 | 15.8d / 20.0d / 30.5d | 14.7d | 16.6d / 20.0d / 28.2d | learned | 0.784 | 17.0d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | stable |
| Rocketbook | 21 | 11.6d / 16.4d / 29.6d | 18.0d | 11.0d / 15.0d / 26.0d | learned | 0.724 | — | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | stable |
| Finleys | 11 | 11.8d / 17.1d / 31.5d | 19.6d | 11.0d / 15.0d / 26.0d | learned | 0.579 | 14.5d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | stable |
| Unknown | 7 | 18.2d / 22.4d / 32.2d | 14.1d | 12.0d / 17.0d / 29.4d | default: quoted × correction | — | 20.0d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| Urine OFF | 5 | 16.4d / 20.1d / 29.0d | 12.7d | 23.8d / 57.0d / 150.0d | default: quoted × correction | — | 18.0d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| Heartbeat Hot Sauce Co | 3 | 13.0d / 20.0d / 39.0d | 26.0d | 24.4d / 30.0d / 30.8d | default: global | — | — | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| Naturel Promise | 3 | 18.2d / 22.4d / 32.2d | 14.1d | 20.0d / 20.0d / 20.8d | default: quoted × correction | — | 20.0d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| Etta Says! | 2 | 13.0d / 20.0d / 39.0d | 26.0d | 20.5d / 26.5d / 32.5d | default: global | — | — | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| Get Coffee’d | 2 | 21.8d / 26.8d / 38.7d | 16.9d | 21.6d / 28.0d / 34.4d | default: quoted × correction | — | 24.0d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| Let's Bake Bread | 2 | 13.0d / 20.0d / 39.0d | 26.0d | 3.9d / 11.5d / 19.1d | default: global | — | — | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| Cosmo's Snack Shack | 1 | 23.6d / 29.1d / 41.9d | 18.3d | 36.0d / 36.0d / 36.0d | default: quoted × correction | — | 26.0d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| Criss Angel | 1 | 3.6d / 4.5d / 6.4d | 2.8d | 7.0d / 7.0d / 7.0d | default: quoted × correction | — | 4.0d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| SureFire | 1 | 6.4d / 7.8d / 11.3d | 4.9d | 111.0d / 111.0d / 111.0d | default: quoted × correction | — | 7.0d | ×1.05 / ×1.21 | n too small |
| ILLY_C_GC_8.8OZ_DECAF_ESP_CASE | Illy | 8 | 14.6d / 28.5d / 71.9d | 18.5d | 0.500 |
| ILLY_C_NC_10CT_INTEN_LUN_CASE | Illy | 8 | 20.5d / 49.8d / 85.7d | 61.0d | 0.500 |